Factors affecting the cotton acreage response in Golestan Province

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Master of Science of Agricultural Economics,

2 Assistant Professor of Agricultural Economics, Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences & Natural Resources

Abstract

Cotton as one of the important and strategic agricultural products is the raw material for the textile, food and livestock industry. In addition to, it plays important role in foreign exchange earnings and employment in agricultural, industrial and trade sectors. Since the cultivation area of this crop, particularly in Golestan province that is famous for cotton production and the land of white gold, faced with a decreasing trend in recent years, thus this study investigates the factors affecting of cotton cultivation area in the Golestan province based on Nerlove Partial adjustment methods and the time series data in 1983-2012 periods with the analysis of the cultivation area in province and Country level. The results indicate that the relative price of cotton to wheat, cotton acreage with one lag, cotton yield with one lag, wheat acreage (competitive crop) and government effective protection rates have a significant effect on cotton acreage in Golestan province. All variables except for wheat acreage have a positive effect on cotton acreage. The results also show that 34 percent of the cotton acreage was due to the behavior of farmers in the previous period and with appropriate protection policies, about 66 percent of the gap between desired and actual cultivation will be reduced.

Keywords

References

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Iranian Journal of Cotton Researches
Volume 4, Issue 1 - Serial Number 1
February 2017
Pages 1-16

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